{"id":11457,"date":"2019-04-25T04:15:40","date_gmt":"2019-04-25T04:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/peace-ipsc.org\/fa\/?p=11457"},"modified":"2019-04-25T04:15:40","modified_gmt":"2019-04-25T04:15:40","slug":"%d8%a7%d9%85%d9%86%db%8c%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%86%d8%b1%da%98%db%8c-%d8%af%d8%b1-%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%86-21-%d8%a8%d8%ae%d8%b4-%d9%be%d8%a7%d9%8a%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peace-ipsc.org\/fa\/%d8%a7%d9%85%d9%86%db%8c%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%86%d8%b1%da%98%db%8c-%d8%af%d8%b1-%d9%82%d8%b1%d9%86-21-%d8%a8%d8%ae%d8%b4-%d9%be%d8%a7%d9%8a%d8%a7%d9%86%d9%8a\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0646 21 – \u00a0\u0628\u062e\u0634 \u067e\u0627\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647\u0647 \u06af\u0644\u0634\u0646\u064a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u06cc \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u060c\u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0628\u062d\u062b \u0634\u062f\u060c \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0639\u062f\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062f\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 [6] \u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u0645\u06cc \u06af\u0631\u062f\u062f:<\/span><\/p>\n

(1) \u062a\u062e\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f (\u0645\u06cc\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u06cc \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0648 \u0628\u062e\u0634\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(2) \u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a \u0630\u062e\u0627\u06cc\u0631 \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u062f (\u062a\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u062e \u0641\u0639\u0644\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0627\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u062f)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(3) \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0646\u0648\u0639 (\u062a\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0648 \u062c\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(4) \u0648\u0627\u0628\u0633\u062a\u06af\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062a (\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u06a9\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641\u06cc)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(5) \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0633\u06cc (\u067e\u0627\u06cc\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u06a9\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0648 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0647\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(6) \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc (\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627 \u0648 \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647\u060c \u0627\u0646\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0637\u0628\u06cc\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u0633\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u06cc)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(7) \u062a\u0626\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0633\u067e\u0648\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0648 (\u0631\u062c\u0648\u0639 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0628\u0639 [7])\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(8) \u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0633\u0648\u062e\u062a \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0627\u06a9 (\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631 \u0648 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0647)\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(9) liquidity \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 (\u0638\u0631\u0641\u06cc\u062a \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0646\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627).\u00a0 \u0627\u0632 \u0646\u06a9\u0627\u062a \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637\u0647 \u0628\u0627 liquidity \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0646 21 \u0622\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u06cc\u06a9\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641 \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0645\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u062c\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u06a9\u06cc\u0647 \u0628\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0647\u06cc\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0633\u0631\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u06af\u0630\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u06cc\u0645 \u062f\u0631 \u06a9\u0634\u0648\u0631 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u062f \u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0648 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u06a9\u06cc\u0647 \u0628\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0648 \u0637\u0631\u0641\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06a9\u0634\u0648\u0631 \u0647\u0627 \u0631\u0648\u06cc \u0622\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a.\u00a0 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0628\u0627\u0639\u062b \u06a9\u0627\u0647\u0634 liquidity \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f [8].<\/span><\/p>\n

(10) \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0637\u0631\u0641 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627 (\u0634\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f).<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0647 \u0628\u0646\u062f\u06cc \u0646\u0645\u0648\u062f:<\/span><\/p>\n

(\u0627\u0644\u0641) \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 (availability) \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u06cc\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(\u0628)\u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0633 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 (accessibility) \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0698\u0626\u0648\u067e\u0644\u062a\u06cc\u06a9\u06cc\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(\u062c) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0639\u062a \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646 (affordability) \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0648\u0637 \u0628\u0647 \u062d\u0648\u0632\u0647 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u061b<\/span><\/p>\n

(\u062f) \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u0634 (acceptability) \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0646\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u0632\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637\u06cc.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u060c \u0628\u0646\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639\u06cc\u062a \u0648 \u0632\u0627\u0648\u06cc\u0647 \u062f\u06cc\u062f\u060c \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0647\u0645\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u06a9\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0644\u06a9\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u062e\u0634\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0622\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u06cc \u06af\u06cc\u0631\u062f.\u00a0 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0628\u0647 \u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0646 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0647 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u062f\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639\u0647 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u0636\u06cc\u062d \u0627\u0633\u062a.\u00a0 \u06cc\u06a9 \u0641\u0627\u06a9\u062a\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639\u0647 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u067e\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc (globalization) \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a \u0645\u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 \u0645\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0646\u062c\u0631 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0633\u0645\u062a \u0686\u0646\u062f \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u0647 \u06af\u0631\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0648 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u062a\u06a9\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f.\u00a0 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u062a\u060c \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0698\u0626\u0648\u067e\u0644\u062a\u06cc\u06a9\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u06a9\u0645 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0628\u0648\u062f\u060c \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0622\u0646\u06a9\u0647 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0628\u0648\u062f.\u00a0 \u0686\u0646\u0627\u0646\u0686\u0647\u060c \u0628\u0631\u0639\u06a9\u0633\u060c \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0646\u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f \u0648 \u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a \u0647\u0627 \u0648 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u062c\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u06cc\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0647\u0645\u0686\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f\u060c \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u062a \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0639 \u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0628\u0627\u0639\u062b \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f \u0648 \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u062a\u06cc\u062c\u0647 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0633 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u0628\u06cc\u0634\u062a\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u06cc \u06cc\u0627\u0628\u062f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0628\u0647 \u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0645\u06cc \u0631\u0633\u062f \u06cc\u06a9 \u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637\u0647 \u062a\u0647\u0627\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u060c \u0627\u0632 \u0646\u0648\u0639\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0628\u062d\u062b \u0634\u062f\u060c \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0639\u062a \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646 \u0648 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u0634 \u0646\u06cc\u0632 \u0628\u0631\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u061b \u0686\u0646\u0627\u0646\u06a9\u0647 \u062a\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0644 \u0628\u0647 \u0633\u0645\u062a \u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0646\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u0632\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637\u06cc \u0639\u0645\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0639\u062b \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0648 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0639\u062a \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0645\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f \u0648 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u06cc\u0646 \u0646\u06af\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0631\u0634\u062f \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0639\u062b \u0628\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647\u06cc \u0648 \u062f\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0632\u062f\u0646 \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0634\u06a9\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0632\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637\u06cc \u0648 \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u062a\u06cc\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u062a \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u0634 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0645\u06cc \u06af\u0631\u062f\u062f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u062f\u0648\u06af\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc \u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0630\u06a9\u0631 \u0634\u062f\u0646\u062f: (1) \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0647 \u06af\u0631\u0627\u06cc\u06cc\u060c \u0648 (2) \u0631\u0634\u062f \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc \u0648 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0642\u0644\u06cc\u0645\u06cc\u060c \u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0647 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0648\u06cc\u0698\u0647 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0627\u0632 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06af\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u06cc (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) \u062a\u0647\u06cc\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0647\u06cc\u0626\u062a \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u06cc \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0642\u0644\u06cc\u0645\u06cc (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) \u0646\u06cc\u0632 \u0645\u06cc \u0628\u0627\u0634\u0646\u062f[9].\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0627\u0632 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06af\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634 \u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a: (\u0627\u0644\u0641) \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u06cc A1 \u0645\u062a\u06a9\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0647\u0645\u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0627\u06a9\u06cc\u062f \u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0634\u062f \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u061b (\u0628) \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u06cc B1 \u0645\u062a\u06a9\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u0641\u0642 \u062f\u0631 \u0639\u06cc\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0642\u0644\u06cc\u0645\u06cc\u061b (\u062c) \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u06cc A2\u0645\u062a\u06a9\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0647 \u06af\u0631\u0627\u06cc\u06cc (\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u0646\u0627\u0645\u0648\u0641\u0642) \u0647\u0645\u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0627\u06a9\u06cc\u062f \u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0634\u062f \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u061b \u0648 (\u062f) \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u06cc B2 \u0645\u062a\u06a9\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0647 \u06af\u0631\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0639\u06cc\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u063a\u06cc\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0642\u0644\u06cc\u0645\u06cc.\u00a0 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0648 \u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637\u0647 \u062a\u0647\u0627\u062a\u0631\u06cc \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0634\u06a9\u0644 1 \u062a\u0635\u0648\u06cc\u0631 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0634\u06a9\u0644 1 \u2013 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0646\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0627\u0632\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06af\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0648 \u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637\u0647 \u062a\u0647\u0627\u062a\u0631\u06cc \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 \u0647\u0627.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0646\u062a\u06cc\u062c\u0647 \u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u067e\u0633 \u0627\u0632 \u067e\u06cc\u0634 \u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0622\u06cc\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0646 21\u060c \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u06cc \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0642\u0631\u0646 \u0628\u0627 \u062e\u0635\u0648\u0635\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0632\u06cc\u0631 \u062a\u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0634\u062f: (1) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0633\u0628\u062f \u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0628 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u061b (2) \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0648 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u06cc\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0631\u0635\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u061b (3) \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0648 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0686\u0627\u0644\u0634 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062d\u0648\u0632\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u061b \u0648 (4) \u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u0648 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0634\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u06cc\u0632\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a\u060c \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0648 \u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u060c \u0628\u0644\u06a9\u0647 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0647 \u0627\u06cc \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0632 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062f\u0631 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647: (\u0627\u0644\u0641) \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647\u060c \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0634\u0627\u062e\u0635\u0647 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0632\u0645\u06cc\u0646\u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u06cc\u061b (\u0628) \u062f\u0631 \u062f\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0633 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0646\u060c \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0698\u0626\u0648\u067e\u0644\u062a\u06cc\u06a9\u06cc\u061b (\u062c) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0639\u062a \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646\u060c\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0648\u0637 \u0628\u0647 \u062d\u0648\u0632\u0647 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u06cc\u061b \u0648 (\u062f) \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u0634\u060c \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0646\u06af\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u06cc \u0648 \u0632\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0645\u062d\u06cc\u0637\u06cc\u061b \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0631 \u0645\u06cc \u06af\u06cc\u0631\u062f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

[1] Ar\u0131bo\u011fan, D. &Bilgin, M. (2009)New energy order politics \u201cneopolitics\u201d: from geopolitics to \u201cenergeopolitics\u201d, Uluslararas\u0131\u0130li\u015fkiler\/International Relations<\/em>, 5(20), 109-131.<\/span><\/p>\n

[2] Bilgin, M. (2009a) The PEARL model: gaining competitive advantage through sustainabledevelopment. Journal of Business Ethics<\/em>, 85(3), 545\u2013554.<\/span><\/p>\n

[3] Bilgin, M. (2009b) Geopolitics of European natural gas demand: supplies from Russia, Caspianand the Middle East.Energy Policy<\/em>, 37(11), 4482-4492.<\/span><\/p>\n

[4] Kruyt, B., van Vuuren, D., de Vries, H.J.M. &Groenenberg, H. (2009)Indicators for energy security<\/a>,\u00a0Energy Policy<\/em><\/a>, 37(6), 2166-2181.<\/span><\/p>\n

[5]Nuttall, W. J. &Manz, D. L. (2008) A new energy security paradigm for the twenty-first century.<\/em>Technological Forecasting and Social Change<\/em>,75(8), 1247-1259.<\/span><\/p>\n

[6] Bilgin, M. (2011)The new energy order, FAST principles and energy futures in the 21st Century. Futures<\/em>, 10(43), 1041-1043.<\/span><\/p>\n

[7]Marrro, G. A., Puch, L. A. & Ramos-Real, F. J. (2015) Mean-variance portfolio methods for energy policy risk management.International Review of Economics & Finance<\/em>, 40, 246-264.<\/span><\/p>\n

[8] Victor, D. G. &Yerb, L. (2010) The new energy order, managing insecurities in the twenty-first century<\/em>. Foreign affairs. [Online]https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/20699783?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents<\/a>. Last retrieved at 02\/12\/2018.<\/span><\/p>\n

[9] Nakicenovic, N., Alcamo, J.,\u00a0Riahi, K<\/a>.,\u00a0Roehrl, R. A<\/a>.,\u00a0Rogner H-H<\/a>.&\u00a0Victor, N<\/a>.\u00a0 (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<\/em>, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. [Online]<\/span><\/p>\n

http:\/\/pure.iiasa.ac.at\/6101. Last retrieved at 04\/12\/2018<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0648\u0627\u0698\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u062f\u06cc:<\/strong> \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc\u060c\u0646\u0641\u062a \u060c\u06af\u0627\u0632 \u060c <\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a\u060c \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u060c \u0642\u0631\u0646 21\u060c <\/strong>\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647\u0647 \u06af\u0644\u0634\u0646\u064a\u060c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647\u0647 \u06af\u0644\u0634\u0646\u064a \u067e\u0698\u0648\u0647\u0634\u06af\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644 \u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0635\u0644\u062d \u2013IPSC \u00a0 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u06cc \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc\u060c \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u06cc\u06a9 \u06a9\u0634\u0648\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u062a\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0622\u0646 \u0647\u0645\u0647 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0648 \u06a9\u0633\u0628 \u0648 \u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0641\u06cc\u060c \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0631\u06cc\u0633\u06a9 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,24,9,26,11,3],"tags":[335,3356,3357,3358,3359,1391,3005,442],"class_list":["post-11457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-21","category-24","category-9","category-26","category-11","category-articles","tag-335","tag-3356","tag----21--","tag-3358","tag-3359","tag-1391","tag-3005","tag-442"],"yoast_head":"\n\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0646 21 - \u00a0\u0628\u062e\u0634 \u067e\u0627\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a - IPSC - \u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0635\u0644\u062d<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peace-ipsc.org\/fa\/\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a-\u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc-\u062f\u0631-\u0642\u0631\u0646-21-\u0628\u062e\u0634-\u067e\u0627\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fa_IR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0646 21 - \u00a0\u0628\u062e\u0634 \u067e\u0627\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a - IPSC - \u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0635\u0644\u062d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647\u0647 \u06af\u0644\u0634\u0646\u064a \u067e\u0698\u0648\u0647\u0634\u06af\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644 \u0645\u0631\u06a9\u0632 \u0628\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0635\u0644\u062d \u2013IPSC \u00a0 \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u06af\u0648\u06cc \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u06cc\u0641 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u06cc\u060c \u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u06cc\u06a9 \u06a9\u0634\u0648\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u062a\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0622\u0646 \u0647\u0645\u0647 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0648 \u06a9\u0633\u0628 \u0648 \u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0641\u06cc\u060c \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0631\u06cc\u0633\u06a9 […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/peace-ipsc.org\/fa\/\u0627\u0645\u0646\u06cc\u062a-\u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc-\u062f\u0631-\u0642\u0631\u0646-21-\u0628\u062e\u0634-\u067e\u0627\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IPSC - 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